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Hace 2 días · (Goodsell, Journal of Philosophical Logic, 51(1), 127-150 2022) establishes the noncontingency of sentences of first-order arithmetic, in a plausible higher-order modal logic. Here, the same result is derived using significantly weaker assumptions. Most notably, the assumption of rigid comprehension—that every property is coextensive with a modally rigid one—is weakened to the assumption ...
Hace 2 días · An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances. By the late Rev. Mr. Bayes, FRS communicated by Mr. Price, in a letter to John Canton, AMFR S. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London, (53), 370-418.
Hace 4 días · Probabilities speak only of the possible truth or falsity of propositions. Thus (as will be proved below) the probability of “Pat the cat shot at least 30 rounds” given “50% of cats shoot at least 30 rounds and Pat is a cat” is 50%, but the same proposition has probability 60% given “60% of cats, etc.”
Hace 3 días · A philosophical essay on probabilities (F. W. Truscott & F. L. Emory, Trans.). Dover. (Original work published 1814).
Hace 3 días · Так, в библиотеке Пушкина имелись два сочинения по теории вероятностей, одно из которых представляет собой знаменитый труд великого математика и механика Пьера-Симо́на Лапласа «A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities» ("Опыт ...
Hace 5 días · In contrast, Bayesian inference seeks to assign probabilities to hypotheses. Related topics in philosophy of statistics include probability interpretations , overfitting , and the difference between correlation and causation .
Hace 3 días · The Entscheidungsnavi is an open-source decision support system based on multi-attribute utility theory, that offers various methods for dealing with uncertainties. To model decisions with uncertainties, decision-makers can use two categories: Forecast and Parameter Uncertainties. Forecast Uncertainty is modeled with (combined) influence factors using discrete, user-defined probability ...
