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10 de feb. de 2023 · Hindsight bias is a type of cognitive bias that causes people to convince themselves that a past event was predictable or inevitable. After an event, people often believe they knew the outcome of the event before it actually happened.
Hindsight bias, the tendency, upon learning an outcome of an event—such as an experiment, a sporting event, a military decision, or a political election—to overestimate one’s ability to have foreseen the outcome. Hindsight bias is colloquially known as the “I knew it all along phenomenon.”.
Hindsight bias, also known as the knew-it-all-along phenomenon or creeping determinism, is the common tendency for people to perceive past events as having been more predictable than they were.
Hindsight bias is our tendency, after an event has occurred, to overestimate the extent to which we could have we could have predicted it (APA, 2023). Put another way, we believe we knew something was going to happen all along, even if we actually didn’t have any idea beforehand.
29 de sept. de 2022 · What Is Hindsight Bias? Hindsight bias is a psychological phenomenon that allows people to convince themselves after an event that they accurately predicted it before it happened.
7 de ene. de 2024 · What Is Hindsight Bias? The term "hindsight bias" refers to the tendency people have to view events as more predictable than they really are. Before an event takes place, while you might be able to offer a guess as to the outcome, there is really no way to actually know what's going to happen.
Hindsight bias describes the tendency that people have – once an outcome is known – to believe that they predicted (or could have predicted) an outcome that they did not (or could not) predict. Sometimes referred to as the “knew-it-all-along” effect, it describes times when people conflate an outcome with what they knew at the time.
