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22 de ago. de 2023 · The Monty Hall problem underscores a valuable lesson in probability theory: updating probabilities based on new information is a crucial aspect of making informed decisions. Whether in game shows or real-life situations, understanding how probabilities evolve as circumstances change can lead to more favorable outcomes.
En el concurso de Monty Hall, hemos visto que la mejor estrategia es la de cambiar la puerta, pero Allá tú es un concurso mucho más complejo de estudiar la probabilidad, por lo que tarda en salir el premio gordo podemos pensar que lo mejor es quedarnos con la caja inicial que tiene una probabilidad de ser la de 600.000 € de 1/22= 0,0455 que equivale a un 4,54% aproximadamente, una ...
I consider the Monty Hall problem to be a statistical illusion. This statistical illusion occurs because your brain’s process for evaluating probabilities in the Monty Hall problem is based on a false assumption. Similar to optical illusions, the illusion can seem more real than the actual answer. To see through this statistical illusion, we ...
7 de mar. de 2022 · The Monty Hall Problem Explained Visually. To illustrate why switching doors gives you a higher probability of winning, consider the following scenarios where you pick door 1 first. Scenario 1: You pick door 1 and the prize is actually behind door 1. In this case, Monty will open either door 2 or 3 and show you that nothing is behind one of ...
The Monty Hall problem was shown on the movie 21, where door no. 3 was first revealed as a goat, instead of a new car, but the contestant is given a second opportunity to change his initial answer, as part of an exercise related to variable change.
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- Sal Khan
22 de may. de 2014 · Extended math version: http://youtu.be/ugbWqWCcxrg?t=2m32sA version for Dummies: https://youtu.be/7u6kFlWZOWgMore links & stuff in full description below ↓↓↓...
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- Numberphile
El problema de Monty Hall es uno de los problemas más famosos de probabilidad y viene del concurso televisivo de los 70 Let’s Make a Deal. El nombre hace referencia a su famoso presentador, y a su conocido juego de las 3 puertas. Donde se escondía un coche entre una de ellas, y el concursante debía elegir una puerta.
