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As science advances, enabling greater predictive accuracy at least over the natural world, scientists may be able to predict catastrophes that cannot be prevented (as well as prevent some man-made catastrophes that cannot be predicted).
28 de nov. de 2007 · The Brookings Institution Press launched Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, a new Brookings book edited by Francis Fukuyama and cosponsored by The...
3 de sept. de 2008 · Anticipating and managing low-probability events is a critically important challenge to contemporary policymakers, who increasingly recognize that they lack the analytical tools to do so. Developing such tools is the focus of this insightful and perceptive volume, edited by renowned author Francis Fukuyama and sponsored by The ...
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3 de sept. de 2008 · How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. A host of catastrophes, natural and otherwise, as well as some pleasant surprises—like the sudden end of the...
28 de nov. de 2007 · BLINDSIDE: HOW TO ANTICIPATE FORCING EVENTS AND. WILD CARDS IN GLOBAL POLITICS. Washington, D.C. Wednesday, November 28, 2007. Introduction: ROBERT L. FAHERTY, Vice...
A host of catastrophes, natural and otherwise, as well as some pleasant surprises -like the sudden end of the cold war without a shot being fired -have caught g...
Summary "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources.
