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La teoría del cisne negro o teoría de los sucesos del cisne negro es una metáfora que describe un suceso sorpresivo (para el observador), de gran impacto socioeconómico y que, una vez pasado el hecho, se racionaliza por retrospección (haciendo que parezca predecible o explicable, y dando impresión de que se esperaba que ocurriera ).
12 de jul. de 2022 · Black swans don’t charge or growl, but they do conjure fear and worry on Wall Street. A so-called black swan event is defined, in part, as an “outlier” that carries deep, far-reaching consequences for investors. Black swans have left their mark throughout market history. It’s the kind of “animal” investors would be wise to study and ...
6 de sept. de 2019 · Condition for a Black Swan Event For an event to be classified as a black swan event, it must be ex ante computationally inaccessible. Now, that isn’t to say that we can’t build models that generate useful predictions about the effects of climate change on water scarcity.
20 de feb. de 2024 · The following list contains examples of notable black swan events: Digital Age (“Dot Com” Era) – i.e. Rise of the Internet, Adoption of Personal Computing, Mobile Phones. Terrorist Attacks on September 11, 2001. 2008 Global Financial Crisis – i.e. the “Great Recession”. The “dot com” era consisted of a recession once the bubble ...
28 de abr. de 2022 · After the event, people will argue that it was predictable. Examples of Black Swan Events. Though the 2008 financial crash of the U.S. housing market was the first time when this term was used, there have been several such events before. The 2008 financial crash was the last well-known black swan event.
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11 de dic. de 2023 · A Black Swan event – also known simply as a "Black Swan" – is a highly unlikely and unpredictable occurrence that has major repercussions the world over. Those repercussions are usually pretty dire ones. Black Swan events are often discussed in the context of the financial world, but they’re not just monetary matters.
